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Josh Palmer

Josh Palmer Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Palmer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
  • The Patriots pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (66.5%) versus WRs this year (66.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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