Josh Palmer Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Josh Palmer

NFL · Player Props

Josh Palmer

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receptions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 14, 2024

Updated Dec 9, 2024 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Palmer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chargers are a 4-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
While Josh Palmer has received 13.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Los Angeles's offense in this week's contest at 18.5%.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Chargers have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.3 plays per game.
Josh Palmer's 2.2 adjusted catches per game this year shows a remarkable decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 3.8 mark.
As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Kansas City's LB corps has been very good this year, profiling as the 8th-best in football.

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