Josh Palmer Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Josh Palmer

NFL · Player Props

Josh Palmer

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Palmer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.0 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 67.7% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
Josh Palmer has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (85.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (39.1%).

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (63.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (63.5%).
The Jacksonville Jaguars cornerbacks rank as the 7th-best CB corps in football this year in covering receivers.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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