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Josh Palmer

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Los Angeles Chargers may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Taylor Heinicke.

The Chargers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop.

Josh Palmer has run a route on 85.6% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Josh Palmer has accounted for a massive 23.8% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 79th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Chiefs, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.6 per game) since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the formidable Chiefs defense has surrendered a feeble 123.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 6th-fewest in football.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Chiefs defense has allowed the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a puny 7.3 yards.

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