Josh Palmer Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Josh Palmer

NFL · Player Props

Josh Palmer

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving TD

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Palmer Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+170/-243).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +187 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.3 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
Josh Palmer has notched far more air yards this year (60.0 per game) than he did last year (27.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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