My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Oliver

Josh Oliver Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Minnesota Vikings

Josh Oliver Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1600/-4400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -4400.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.

The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.81 seconds per snap.

The Minnesota offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

With an exceptional 84.4% Adjusted Completion Rate (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Josh Oliver stands among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.

Opposing teams have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.

While Josh Oliver has garnered 10.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Minnesota's offense near the goal line in this game at 3.3%.

After accruing 13.0 air yards per game last year, Josh Oliver has been a disappointment this year, currently pacing 1.0 per game.

Josh Oliver's 3.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 12.4.

More Josh Oliver Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™