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Josh Oliver

Josh Oliver Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Josh Oliver Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1600/-4500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -4500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.
  • The Minnesota offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • With an exceptional 84.4% Adjusted Completion Rate (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Josh Oliver stands among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to TEs.
  • Josh Oliver grades out in the 81st percentile among tight ends when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an excellent 0.25 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Vikings to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Vikings this year (only 52.2 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • While Josh Oliver has garnered 10.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Minnesota's offense near the goal line in this game at 3.3%.

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