Josh Oliver Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Josh Oliver

NFL · Player Props

Josh Oliver

TE · Minnesota Vikings

Touchdowns

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 12, 2025

Updated Nov 23, 2025 8:42 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Oliver Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1600/-1750).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3600 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1750.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.9% red zone pass rate.
The leading projections forecast the Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.57 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
As it relates to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Minnesota Vikings profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

Josh Oliver has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (2.0 per game) than he did last season (13.0 per game).
Josh Oliver's 5.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 12.4.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay's safety corps has been terrific this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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