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Josh Oliver

Josh Oliver Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Oliver Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
  • The model projects Josh Oliver to earn 4.5 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • While Josh Oliver has garnered 4.5% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Minnesota's pass game in this week's contest at 15.0%.
  • With an excellent 82.9% Adjusted Catch% (75th percentile) this year, Josh Oliver has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to pass on 54.3% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have just 122.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Vikings this year (a measly 51.0 per game on average).
  • Josh Oliver has put up quite a few less air yards this year (3.0 per game) than he did last year (13.0 per game).

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