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Josh Oliver

Josh Oliver Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Josh Oliver Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-103/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 63.2% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The model projects Josh Oliver to garner 5.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • The leading projections forecast Josh Oliver to be much more involved in his offense's passing attack in this game (15.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.0% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to run just 63.2 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a lowly 51.2 per game on average).
  • Josh Oliver has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (3.0 per game) than he did last season (13.0 per game).
  • Josh Oliver's 14.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season illustrates a noteworthy decrease in his receiving skills over last season's 24.0 rate.
  • Josh Oliver's skills in picking up extra yardage have diminished this season, totaling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.45 figure last season.

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