My Account Log Out
 
 
Josh Oliver

Josh Oliver Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Josh Oliver Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • With a stellar 4.14 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Josh Oliver places as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game in the NFL in space.
  • The Washington Commanders defense has been torched for the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (68.0) versus TEs this year.
  • This year, the porous Commanders defense has been torched for the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a whopping 9.69 yards.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Washington's unit has been awful this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Vikings are expected by the projection model to run only 63.2 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 51.4 plays per game.
  • Josh Oliver's 17.1% Route Participation% this season shows a remarkable regression in his pass attack workload over last season's 32.7% mark.
  • After accumulating 13.0 air yards per game last season, Josh Oliver has produced significantly fewer this season, currently sitting at 1.0 per game.
  • Josh Oliver has accrued many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (10.0) this season than he did last season (24.0).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™