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Josh Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

Josh Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+600/-690).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -830 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -690.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Josh Johnson.

A passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 132.1 total plays run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest clip in the NFL vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (75.6% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 2nd-most run-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (50.2% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Commanders.

The 7th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (just 54.5 per game on average).

The model projects Josh Johnson to be a more important option in his offense's running game near the end zone this week (14.8% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Dallas's unit has been awful this year, ranking as the worst in football. in football.

More Josh Johnson Player Props

Josh Johnson TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

Josh Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17