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Josh Johnson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 18

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Josh Johnson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-175/+136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +137 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders will be forced to start backup quarterback Josh Johnson in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on throwing than their standard game plan.

To the extent of a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.76 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Commanders as the 3rd-slowest in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Commanders to be the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 49.4% red zone pass rate.

In logging a paltry 6.0 pass attempts per game since the start of last season, Josh Johnson slots in among the bottom QBs in football (16th percentile) in this statistic.

Josh Johnson has not passed for any TDs since the start of last season.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest level in the league vs. the Eagles defense this year (64.3% Adjusted Completion%).

More Josh Johnson Player Props

Josh Johnson TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 18

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Josh Johnson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 18