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Josh Johnson

Josh Johnson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Josh Johnson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+172/-220).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +174 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +172.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Josh Johnson.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 132.1 total plays run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest clip in the NFL vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (75.6% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (49.8% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Commanders.
  • The 7th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (just 54.5 per game on average).

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