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Josh Johnson

Josh Johnson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Josh Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 6th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (42.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Commanders.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 132.1 total plays run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect Josh Johnson to be a much bigger part of his offense's run game in this week's contest (14.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • The Dallas Cowboys defense owns the 7th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing 4.97 adjusted yards-per-carry.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Dallas's unit has been awful this year, ranking as the worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Josh Johnson.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The 7th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (just 54.5 per game on average).

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