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Josh Johnson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-140/+105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -140.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Washington Commanders will be forced to start backup quarterback Josh Johnson in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on throwing than their standard game plan.To the extent of a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.76 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Commanders as the 3rd-slowest in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Our trusted projections expect the Commanders to be the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.In logging a paltry 6.0 pass attempts per game since the start of last season, Josh Johnson slots in among the bottom QBs in football (16th percentile) in this statistic.Josh Johnson has averaged a lowly 0.14 interceptions per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile among quarterbacks.As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Philadelphia's collection of LBs has been great this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.
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