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Josh Johnson

Josh Johnson Completions
Player Prop Week 18

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Josh Johnson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-104/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be forced to start backup quarterback Josh Johnson in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are big underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on throwing than their standard game plan.
  • To the extent of a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.76 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Commanders as the 3rd-slowest in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Commanders to be the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • In logging a paltry 6.0 pass attempts per game since the start of last season, Josh Johnson slots in among the bottom QBs in football (16th percentile) in this statistic.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest level in the league vs. the Eagles defense this year (64.3% Adjusted Completion%).
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Philadelphia's collection of LBs has been great this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.

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