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Josh Johnson

Josh Johnson Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Josh Johnson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-116/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 6th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (42.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Commanders.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 132.1 total plays run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect Josh Johnson to be a much bigger part of his offense's run game in this week's contest (14.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Dallas's unit has been awful this year, ranking as the worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Josh Johnson.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The 7th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (just 54.5 per game on average).

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