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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-154/+138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -154.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • While Josh Jacobs has been responsible for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Green Bay's offense near the goal line in this game at 7.5%.
  • The Carolina Panthers defensive ends profile as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 13-point advantage, the Packers are overwhelmingly favored in this week's contest, indicating much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 52.4% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Packers rank as the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 53.8% red zone run rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

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