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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Green Bay Packers may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup QB Malik Willis.
  • The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.
  • The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to be much less involved in his offense's rushing attack near the goal line in this week's contest (52.1% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (64.1% in games he has played).
  • Josh Jacobs rates in the 86th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with a remarkable 15.4 mark this year.
  • The Ravens defense has given up the 10th-most receiving touchdowns in football to RBs: 0.20 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Green Bay Packers have been the 7th-most run-focused team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 51.9% red zone run rate.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run just 59.6 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • When it comes to air yards, Josh Jacobs ranks in the lowly 20th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -2.0 per game.
  • Josh Jacobs's 82.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 88.6% figure.

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