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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-121/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -121.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Josh Jacobs ranks in the 84th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with a whopping 15.6 mark this year.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-highest level in football vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year (73.9% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the porous Chicago Bears defense has conceded a colossal 0.21 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing RBs: the 10th-worst rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 51.1% rate of running the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most run-centric offense in the league in these cases has been the Packers.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the model to run just 62.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Among all RBs, Josh Jacobs grades out in the 95th percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, accounting for 67.2% of the volume in his team's run game near the goal line.
  • Josh Jacobs has notched a measly -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 23rd percentile among running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 88.5% to 81.6%.

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