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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-164/+144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -176 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -164.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • Josh Jacobs's 15.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 84th percentile for RBs.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the NFL versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (74.8% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the feeble Bears defense has been gouged for a colossal 0.25 receiving TDs per game to opposing running backs: the 7th-highest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • With a 53.5% rate of running the ball near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL in these cases has been the Green Bay Packers.
  • The projections expect the Packers to call the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Josh Jacobs has received 67.7% of his offense's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.

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