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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-142/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • While Josh Jacobs has garnered 2.4% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Green Bay's passing attack near the end zone in this week's game at 7.9%.
  • The Eagles defense has yielded the most receiving TDs in the NFL to RBs: 0.38 per game this year.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Philadelphia's unit has been awful this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers rank as the 6th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 54.1% red zone run rate.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are predicted by the projections to call only 60.4 total plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Josh Jacobs has earned 71.2% of his team's red zone carries this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Josh Jacobs has accumulated a mere -6.0 air yards per game this year: just 10th percentile among RBs.
  • Josh Jacobs's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 88.4% to 80.4%.

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