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With a 14-point advantage, the Packers are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.Our trusted projections expect the Packers to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.The model projects Josh Jacobs to notch 19.7 carries this week, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.Josh Jacobs has received 68.5% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.
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