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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 80.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 80.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 14-point advantage, the Packers are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Packers to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.6 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.

The model projects Josh Jacobs to notch 19.4 carries this week, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Josh Jacobs has received 68.5% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Jacobs has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (56.0) this season than he did last season (80.0).

Josh Jacobs's rushing efficiency has tailed off this season, accumulating a mere 3.50 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.50 figure last season.

The Bengals safeties project as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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