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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 73.5 (-108/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 73.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 73.5 @ +106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Packers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.
  • In this contest, Josh Jacobs is forecasted by the predictive model to find himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.4 rush attempts.
  • Out of all RBs, Josh Jacobs grades out in the 96th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 70.1% of the workload in his team's running game.
  • Since the start of last season, the imposing Cowboys run defense has given up a paltry 4.97 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing rushing attacks: the 29th-best rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Dallas's group of LBs has been very bad since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Packers to run the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Packers have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.3 plays per game.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • Josh Jacobs has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (46.0) this year than he did last year (79.0).
  • Josh Jacobs's rushing efficiency has diminished this season, notching a measly 3.20 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.48 mark last season.

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