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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 70.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Packers being a giant 7.5-point favorite in this game.

This week, Josh Jacobs is expected by the projection model to slot into the 99th percentile among RBs with 20.6 rush attempts.

Josh Jacobs has been a more important option in his offense's ground game this year (80.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (64.1%).

With a remarkable total of 79.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (95th percentile), Josh Jacobs ranks among the leading pure rushers in football since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Packers to call the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Packers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).

Josh Jacobs's ground effectiveness has diminished this year, notching a measly 3.53 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.47 rate last year.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Cleveland's collection of DEs has been very good since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the league.

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