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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 77.5 (-115/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 75.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 77.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.

In this week's game, Josh Jacobs is anticipated by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.8 rush attempts.

Among all RBs, Josh Jacobs ranks in the 96th percentile for carries since the start of last season, accounting for 64.7% of the workload in his team's run game.

Josh Jacobs has grinded out 79.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the NFL when it comes to running backs (96th percentile).

Opposing teams have rushed for the 9th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (130 per game) versus the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Packers to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Packers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

The Washington Commanders linebackers project as the best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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