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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 78.5 (-111/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 67.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 78.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to run on 46.4% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • In this week's game, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the projection model to finish in the 100th percentile among RBs with 20.6 carries.
  • The predictive model expects Josh Jacobs to be much less involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (43.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (59.4% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Green Bay Packers will be starting backup QB Clayton Tune in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The 4th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Packers this year (just 54.9 per game on average).
  • Josh Jacobs has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (59.0) this year than he did last year (80.0).

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