Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 28, 2025 1:02 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-112/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 56.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Packers as the 3rd-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.7% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect Josh Jacobs to accumulate 14.1 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Green Bay Packers may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup QB Malik Willis.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run just 59.6 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
The projections expect Josh Jacobs to be a much smaller part of his team's running game in this week's contest (49.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (60.6% in games he has played).
Josh Jacobs's 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season shows an impressive diminishment in his running proficiency over last season's 80.0 mark.
When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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