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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-111/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 66.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Josh Jacobs to garner 16.2 carries in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Out of all RBs, Josh Jacobs grades out in the 93rd percentile for carries this year, making up 64.7% of the workload in his offense's run game.
  • The Chicago Bears defense owns the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, allowing 5.03 adjusted yards-per-carry.
  • The Chicago defensive tackles project as the 4th-worst group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Josh Jacobs's 64.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year indicates a remarkable diminishment in his rushing proficiency over last year's 80.0 rate.

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