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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 83.5 (-160/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 81.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 83.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Packers are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to run on 47.4% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to earn 21.0 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
  • Out of all RBs, Josh Jacobs ranks in the 94th percentile for carries this year, making up 65.8% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 5th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Packers.
  • Josh Jacobs has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (62.0) this season than he did last season (80.0).
  • Josh Jacobs's rushing effectiveness (3.80 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (22nd percentile when it comes to RBs).

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