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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-115/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 80.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 80.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Packers are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to run on 46.0% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to earn 20.2 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
  • Out of all RBs, Josh Jacobs ranks in the 94th percentile for carries this year, making up 65.8% of the workload in his offense's ground game.
  • The Giants defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, conceding 5.78 adjusted yards-per-carry.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are projected by the projections to call just 63.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • Josh Jacobs has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (62.0) this season than he did last season (80.0).
  • Josh Jacobs's rushing effectiveness (3.80 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (22nd percentile when it comes to RBs).

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