Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 10, 2025

Updated Nov 11, 2025 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-138/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 70.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 69.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect Josh Jacobs to accrue 16.8 carries in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has received 64.3% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers as the least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 42.1% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are predicted by the projections to call only 60.4 total plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower run volume.
Josh Jacobs has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (55.0) this season than he did last season (80.0).
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Philadelphia's unit has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.

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