Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Green Bay Packers · Week 8, 2024

Updated Oct 27, 2024 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 68.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
At the present time, the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Packers.
In this week's contest, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the projections to land in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.0 carries.
Josh Jacobs's 74.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season marks a meaningful progression in his running ability over last season's 62.0 mark.
Josh Jacobs's 4.3 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a material boost in his running ability over last season's 3.5 mark.

Favors Under

The model projects the Packers as the 7th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
After comprising 81.5% of his offense's carries last season, Josh Jacobs has had a smaller role in the ground game this season, currently making up just 58.9%.
This year, the tough Jaguars run defense has surrendered a feeble 106.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 7th-fewest in football.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Jacksonville's collection of DEs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the league.

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