My Account Log Out
 
 
Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 68.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Packers are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • At the present time, the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Packers.
  • In this week's contest, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the projections to land in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.0 carries.
  • Josh Jacobs's 74.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season marks a meaningful progression in his running ability over last season's 62.0 mark.
  • Josh Jacobs's 4.3 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a material boost in his running ability over last season's 3.5 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Packers as the 7th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • After comprising 81.5% of his offense's carries last season, Josh Jacobs has had a smaller role in the ground game this season, currently making up just 58.9%.
  • This year, the tough Jaguars run defense has surrendered a feeble 106.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 7th-fewest in football.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Jacksonville's collection of DEs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the league.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™