Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 25, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 73.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 76.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to total 19.3 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
Josh Jacobs has generated 92.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in football among RBs (100th percentile).
The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 31st-worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 8th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Josh Jacobs's rushing effectiveness has tailed off this season, averaging a mere 1.64 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.99 figure last season.
Josh Jacobs has struggled more with picking up extra rushing yardage this season, accumulating 1.93 yards-after-contact vs a 3.40 rate last season.

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