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Josh Jacobs
NFL · Player Props
Josh Jacobs
RB · Las Vegas Raiders
Rushing Yards
Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2022 Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC
NFL Props Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 90.5 (+104/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 90.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 90.5 @ -142.

Favors Over
  • The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to total 19.5 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among RBs.
  • Josh Jacobs has been much more involved in his team's run game this season (87.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (67.7%).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.
  • Josh Jacobs has rushed for a lot more yards per game (106.0) this season than he did last season (56.0).
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a lowly 4.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have risked going for it on 4th down a measly 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in football), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have used some form of misdirection on just 40.7% of their plays since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.
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