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Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers

Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+141/-181).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -158 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -181.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects Josh Jacobs to accumulate 3.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile among RBs.

With an impressive 11.9% Target% (90th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs ranks as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the league.

Josh Jacobs grades out as one of the top RB receiving threats this year, averaging a terrific 2.3 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.

As it relates to linebackers rushing the passer, Carolina's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 13-point advantage, the Packers are overwhelmingly favored in this week's contest, indicating much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 52.4% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Josh Jacobs's 80.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a noteworthy reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 88.4% figure.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

Josh Jacobs ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers

Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 9