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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.
  • The model projects Josh Jacobs to notch 3.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
  • With an impressive 12.4% Target% (89th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs rates as one of the pass-game running backs with the most usage in the league.
  • Josh Jacobs rates as one of the best RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a remarkable 2.2 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has been torched for the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (88.2%) to RBs this year (88.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run only 61.6 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Josh Jacobs's 77.8% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a noteable diminishment in his receiving prowess over last year's 88.4% mark.

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