My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs Green Bay Packers

Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

The model projects Josh Jacobs to total 3.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Josh Jacobs's 19.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 12.8.

Josh Jacobs profiles as one of the top pass-game running backs this year, averaging a fantastic 2.4 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a running game script.

The projections expect the Packers to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Packers ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year.

Josh Jacobs's 76.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a remarkable decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 88.5% rate.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™