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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-123/+111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Josh Jacobs has run a route on 47.7% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • Since the start of last season, the porous Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded a staggering 85.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 10th-worst rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Packers being a giant 7-point favorite in this game.
  • The leading projections forecast the Packers to call the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Packers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Browns linebackers project as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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