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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders

Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-166/+156).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -156 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -166.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

With an extraordinary 47.6% Route Participation% (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Josh Jacobs places among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the league.

In this week's game, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 79th percentile among RBs with 3.1 targets.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Packers ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.

The predictive model expects the Packers to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Packers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Washington Commanders, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.0 per game) since the start of last season.

The Commanders pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (79.9%) to RBs since the start of last season (79.9%).

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