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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +117 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Green Bay Packers may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup QB Malik Willis.
  • The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.
  • With a sizeable 10.7% Target Rate (88th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs places among the RB receiving threats with the most usage in football.
  • With an impressive 2.3 adjusted catches per game (85th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs has been as one of the leading RB receiving threats in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run just 59.6 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Josh Jacobs's 82.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 88.6% figure.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Baltimore's safety corps has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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