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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this contest, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.2 targets.
  • Josh Jacobs has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 10.8% this year, which puts him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
  • With a stellar 2.3 adjusted catches per game (82nd percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs ranks among the top pass-catching RBs in the NFL.
  • When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Chicago's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Josh Jacobs's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 88.5% to 81.6%.

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