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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-169/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -169.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to total 3.5 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs has been a key part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 12.2% this year, which puts him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs comes in as one of the leading RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a fantastic 2.3 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 85th percentile.
  • This year, the shaky Eagles pass defense has been torched for a massive 86.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 10th-biggest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Philadelphia's unit has been awful this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are predicted by the projections to call only 60.8 total plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Josh Jacobs's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 88.4% to 80.4%.

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