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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-focused team in the league (62.0% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Green Bay Packers.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Packers grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year.

Josh Jacobs's 84.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a noteworthy progression in his receiving skills over last year's 69.0% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 6-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Josh Jacobs's 12.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 20.5.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Chicago's collection of safeties has been great this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

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