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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+152/-214).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -214.
  • The Raiders are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 129.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Josh Jacobs has been among the best running backs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.6 receptions per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.

  • The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to be a less important option in his offense's pass game this week (7.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (12.5% in games he has played).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers grade out as the 5th-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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