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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects Josh Jacobs to accumulate 3.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
  • With an impressive 11.9% Target% (90th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs ranks as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • With a stellar 22.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (91st percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs has been as one of the best RB receiving threats in the NFL.
  • With an impressive 7.8 adjusted yards per target (82nd percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs places as one of the leading RBs in the pass game in the league.
  • As it relates to linebackers rushing the passer, Carolina's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 13-point advantage, the Packers are overwhelmingly favored in this week's contest, indicating much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 52.4% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Josh Jacobs has posted a paltry -6.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 10th percentile among running backs.

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