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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.
  • The Steelers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.
  • The model projects Josh Jacobs to notch 3.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
  • With an impressive 12.4% Target% (89th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs rates as one of the pass-game running backs with the most usage in the league.
  • Josh Jacobs's 24.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year reflects a meaningful gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 19.0 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run only 61.4 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Josh Jacobs has notched a puny -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 17th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs's 77.8% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a noteable diminishment in his receiving prowess over last year's 88.4% mark.
  • Josh Jacobs's talent in grinding out extra yardage have diminished this season, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 11.42 rate last season.

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