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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs Green Bay Packers

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

The model projects Josh Jacobs to total 3.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Josh Jacobs's 19.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 12.8.

Josh Jacobs has put up a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a running game script.

The projections expect the Packers to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Josh Jacobs has accrued a puny -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 14th percentile when it comes to RBs.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Packers ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year.

Josh Jacobs's 76.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a remarkable decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 88.5% rate.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

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