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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • Our trusted projections expect Josh Jacobs to total 3.7 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 12.8% this year, which ranks him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Josh Jacobs profiles as one of the top pass-game RBs this year, averaging an impressive 23.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.
  • Josh Jacobs is positioned as one of the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, averaging a terrific 8.27 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 86th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 14-point advantage, the Packers are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • The model projects the Packers to be the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.05 seconds per snap.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Josh Jacobs has accrued a feeble -8.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 8th percentile when it comes to running backs.

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