My Account Log Out
 
 
Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.6 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • Our trusted projections expect Josh Jacobs to total 3.7 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 12.8% this year, which ranks him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Josh Jacobs profiles as one of the top pass-game RBs this year, averaging an impressive 23.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 14-point advantage, the Packers are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • The model projects the Packers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Josh Jacobs has accrued a feeble -8.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 8th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Josh Jacobs's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 88.5% to 69.4%.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™