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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • Josh Jacobs has run a route on 48.2% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
  • The model projects Josh Jacobs to earn 4.0 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The Green Bay offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • With an impressive 9.79 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Josh Jacobs rates among the top pass-game running backs in the NFL in the open field.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The projections expect the Packers to run the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Packers have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.3 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in football.
  • In regards to air yards, Josh Jacobs grades out in the measly 5th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, averaging just -4.0 per game.

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