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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-113/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • With an extraordinary 47.6% Route Participation% (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Josh Jacobs places among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the league.
  • In this week's game, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 79th percentile among RBs with 3.1 targets.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Packers ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season.
  • With a fantastic 18.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Josh Jacobs has been as one of the leading pass-game RBs in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Packers to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Packers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Washington Commanders, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.0 per game) since the start of last season.
  • As it relates to air yards, Josh Jacobs ranks in just the 10th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, accruing just -3.0 per game.

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